Back
News

Confidence down for UK rural assets

Dairy-cows-THUMB-Returns on UK farmland have slumped to their lowest levels in eight years, according to the IPD UK Annual Rural Property Index.

Total returns were 5.5% in 2015, almost half the 10.4% delivered in 2014, and well down on the five-year average returns of 10.6%.

Rural property has enjoyed a bull run since 2009, due to a perceived status as a safe capital hold that also enjoys favourable tax status.

Capital growth has averaged 9% over the last five years, but fell to 4.1% last year.

MSCI said sentiment had recently been tempered by weakening commodity prices and the EU referendum.

Capital growth slowed most in the South East, to 5.8% from 17.9% in 2014, though eastern England, East Midlands, and Yorkshire and Humberside all saw significant moderation.

Colm Lauder, vice president at MSCI, said: “The weakened investment performance suggests confidence in the land market is cooling down after years of great returns.

“Investors were concerned that it will be some time before there is a clear picture for the agricultural economy.”

The index tracks the performance of 1,873 properties with a capital value of more than £3bn. The index is sponsored by Carter Jonas and Savills.

•To send feedback, email alex.peace@estatesgazette.com or tweet @EGAlexPeace or @estatesgazette

Up next…