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IPF downgrades consensus forecasts

The Investment Property Forum has significantly downgraded consensus forecasts for total returns and rental growth across the UK commercial property market.

The consensus survey is now forecasting a minus 11.3% return from commercial property this year, more than double the minus 5.3% return predicted in the same survey last year.

It says capital values are set to decline by 17.9% this year and rental values by 10.3%. However, the consensus remains that this year will see the bottom of the market with a recovery beginning through 2010.

A sharp bounce back is expected for 2011.

09/03/09 Financial Times 23

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